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#22 - AI5 - AI Doomsday scenario in 2028 or a better future?

Leon Schumacher Season 1 Episode 22

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Today we explore a future scenario on how AI could influence our world between now and 2028. The document is called "AI 2027" by Daniel Kokotajlo, Scott Alexander, Thomas Larsen, Eli Lifland and Romeo Dean, in which they predict that the impact of superhuman AI over the next decade will be enormous, exceeding that of the Industrial Revolution. They wrote a scenario that represents our best guess about what that might look like. It’s informed by trend extrapolations, wargames, expert feedback, experience at OpenAI, and previous forecasting successes. For those that have the time, I suggest that you read the full document or listen to the full two hours of audio at www.AI-2027.ai 

Here we will discuss these potential near-future scenarios involving rapid advancements in artificial intelligence, particularly the emergence of artificial general intelligence (AGI) by 2027. "AI 2027" presents two contrasting fictional timelines: a "race" scenario where unchecked AI development leads to a superintelligence capable of surpassing human control, and a "slowdown" scenario where efforts to prioritise safety and alignment lead to a more cautious approach. The document from the AI Futures Project outlines predictions about AI capabilities evolving from advanced assistants to superhuman researchers, impacting various sectors and potentially triggering geopolitical tensions. The "Strategy for countries" document discusses the implications of these AI advancements for national security and suggests strategic approaches for countries to maintain independence and leverage AI for national progress. The document offer a detailed, speculative examination of the transformative power of near-term AI, highlighting both the immense potential and the significant risks associated with its development and deployment.

The corresponding book will be released soon and can then be found on Amazon next to my other publications: http://tiny.cc/cbdc

More information is available on www.digitalekho.com